TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Under1c6,293$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c5,696$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.935448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over71c3,671$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.581957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c2,620$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.373,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over37c1,806$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,064$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Under52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under49c824.18$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.42650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under50c790.41$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c711.93$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.71,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under54c704.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.325856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c584.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.335740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c532.97$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7838047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under13c464.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.152222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under13c449.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under42c447.51$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.962650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Under51c426.14$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.24560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over48c419.91$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over46c403.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.951643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over48c394.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under53c348.94$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.944250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under51c332.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over47c309$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.774141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under16c299.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over50c158.89$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over44c147.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1714552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over44c147.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1711443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c137.11$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2517958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over48c130.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.883348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over48c130.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over48c130.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over40c116.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.87328.8%21 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.49345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under54c106.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c104.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1569448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.594151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d0…8db8backed Over48c100.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.371369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c94.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.110941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c90.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.022744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under54c90.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.629638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c83.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.721776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c80.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.970239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…d262backed Over48c70.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over61c70.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.093857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over71c69.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0214767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c67.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Under54c61.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.262250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over46c59.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c53.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.893366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under52c53.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-60.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa378…2b72backed Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over47c48.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.669255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.274151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.276647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb120…4786backed Under62c47.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Under35c45.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under54c44.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.372653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd94…f736backed Over48c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Over47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c40.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.472,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under53c38.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…ae4cbacked Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdf…afbcbacked Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f1…0d5bbacked Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under51c37.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.313231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under52c37.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce2…3e1abacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99f…e838backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4099…0d3cbacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…a710backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe39…c7dabacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5895…6f9fbacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cd…b512backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…e37ebacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd221…58a9backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32c…7fa0backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…1af7backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2561…def4backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4567…ed76backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x427c…75bfbacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1990…c309backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507b…3739backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4a…169cbacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb496…74fbbacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…0851backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744b…a237backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…6597backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3184…fe28backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.