TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2080…d262

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT7437.8%28 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.83
Wimbledon WTA: Magda Linette vs Mirra Andreevabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.29
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.5
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.11
Brasov: Max Alcala Gurri vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.09
Brasov: Andres Santamarta vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Troyes: Dali Blanch vs Mickael Kaoukbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$799.55
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,271.31
ITF Rome: Amelia Honer vs Ayana Aklibacked Amelia Honer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$749.83
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
ITF Gdansk: Gina Feistel vs Anastasiya Sobolievabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$474.8
Set Handicap: Sobolieva (-1.5) vs Feistel (+1.5)backed Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Oeiras 3: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.47
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.04
Henrique Rocha vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.81
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchibacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$40.92
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.26
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.96
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.77
Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$22.04
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70%+$20.47
1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.73
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.35
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+71.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.96
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.96
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$28.45
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$32.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.73
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$40.06
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$61.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.