Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0416c1f4919e1d7da35960d25b8eef26452fdd6b91f834176cd2f545e8b3c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,168$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.49 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 44c | 1,091$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 43c | 940.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 57c | 620.47$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.67 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 58c | 581.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 512.11$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 490.69$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 484.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.59 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 449.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 40c | 431.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 374.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 27c | 365.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 58c | 351.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 240.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 226.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 222.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 222.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Yes | 42c | 198.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 44c | 198.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 58c | 194.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 58c | 160.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 134.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…af24backed Yes | 42c | 118.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 79c | 118.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…5ab9backed Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…db52backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 41c | 99.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 58c | 83.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…fd9ebacked Yes | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 78.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b8…0590backed Yes | 42c | 68.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 58c | 61.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…2278backed Yes | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Yes | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 43c | 51.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked No | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…90f6backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…98abbacked Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5863…04dbbacked Yes | 43c | 44.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 57c | 41.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…e9edbacked Yes | 42c | 36.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…9800backed Yes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 43c | 33.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 43c | 33.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 33.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 61c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 59c | 19.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 77c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?No won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.