Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x828b68e3edf3dc470cad960b6355ae08f033448d591001e35296996ebc32b6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 25c | 3,834$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 75c | 2,318$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.54 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 1,314$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Yes | 26c | 921.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 74c | 849.19$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked No | 78c | 506.78$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 401.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 25c | 381.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 216$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 200.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 199.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 185.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed Yes | 26c | 185.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 94.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 74c | 83.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…b972backed Yes | 25c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 75c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 76c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?No won
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.