TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under12c52,634$6,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.8459441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c32,830$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,518.651,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501c…080bbacked Under13c19,258$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under11c14,498$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.631,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under12c13,981$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.578853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under33c7,306$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.7758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83e2…d5cabacked Under13c6,861$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under14c6,574$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.72941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under14c6,574$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.78259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under12c6,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under12c6,441$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.8310852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9710742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under15c5,901$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.2510648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under1c4,737$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.373619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under12c4,470$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.366352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under12c4,470$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.363040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c4,290$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.6745042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under12c3,036$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.632240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under12c2,632$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.945658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over60c2,477$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under12c2,462$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4615847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,202$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.1646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under13c1,676$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8488137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under12c1,674$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.895042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c1,537$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c1,482$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over46c1,239$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.212540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under1c1,188$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick5cpaid+1,822.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c1,183$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.5341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over40c1,178$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Under13c1,019$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.464717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Under23c990.71$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.122552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under39c988.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under50c964.71$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under12c884.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.178644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over47c810.85$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.754353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over57c799.97$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.193560%21 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c756.69$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.26744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c700$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.5343333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under44c658.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.941618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Under22c580.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under54c580.48$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Under13c551.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.653548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over21c543.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+262.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under74c532.09$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under12c525.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.132944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Under28c513.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Under13c510.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.354812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over63c508.01$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.374139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under8c487.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3750…0f3bbacked Under13c473.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over75c469.27$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.711478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under13c453.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.922231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff53…19edbacked Over38c451.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under13c447.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.168243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over57c428.2$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over47c395.01$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.351513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-74.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under14c365.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.215554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over46c360$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.42520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over75c357.82$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5125659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over45c329.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.493342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bb…b5c4backed Over60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c305.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9959136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over57c294.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.591560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under12c292.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.134050%20 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under13c291.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.929445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over20c285.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.481625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa28b…2832backed Over60c283.64$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under72c274.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over32c270.47$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.698067.5%54 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over34c260.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.986168.9%42 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under39c258.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c244.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.33661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782c…0faabacked Under59c235.78$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over40c231.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under13c227.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under57c217.34$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2114249.3%70 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.192147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under45c208.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.81936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c205$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.619455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under11c200.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.47538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cd…efdcbacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Under13c178.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c170.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0927450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c168.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5124245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.072853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over60c162.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under12c159.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under46c158.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4714736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.943336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over28c155.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.642917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.