Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0798e28f8ed6db39783865aa803c8b8a47455911ff383d98ded0b690efd45f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpool FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Liverpool FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10c | 1,830$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8c | 1,314$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…5171backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 1,006$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8c | 913.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 11c | 848.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8c | 839.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…ba4cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 801$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…1221backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 771$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…dfeabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 764$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…290bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 733$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 714.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…1e9bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…89b3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 669$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8c | 381.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…4cc1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 12c | 196.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10c | 174.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…0c7cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9c | 173.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.