TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba5a…344cbacked Over68c20,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,599.963948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c15,105$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.081,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c10,446$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,212.926657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over69c10,216$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c7,372$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.1158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c5,992$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.248853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Over68c4,904$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under50c4,105$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.661921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under57c3,432$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4855858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under32c3,377$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.2215847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under37c3,075$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.1410648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under37c3,053$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.568259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0704744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under34c2,893$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.922941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under33c2,627$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.7610852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c2,594$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.8159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over67c2,576$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c2,431$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.3446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3604358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.963056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over68c1,873$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.356950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c1,604$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over31c1,577$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.272528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under32c1,499$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.156352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under32c1,499$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.158647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under32c1,499$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.153040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over13c1,458$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.81229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over68c1,400$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9523174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c1,354$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.87160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over38c1,271$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over49c1,009$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.121030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Over10c1,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.272445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68070%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under31c999.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.981625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under50c972.53$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under32c899.25$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.497652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c879.48$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.561,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Under31c860$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over9c774.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7244033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over67c757.58$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5814953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under31c741.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.553141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over68c728.73$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.41163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.47068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over30c716.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.591618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Over69c711.16$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over68c696.37$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.531118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under32c623.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.137058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c608.75$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.047065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under32c598.3$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.845042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over68c588.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.171030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under32c575.52$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.354344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under31c545.32$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.726657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over18c511.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.021711.8%2 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Over31c503.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under32c499.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.985048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Over63c492$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.961233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c455.94$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3546741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over48c419.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.65550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa702…9a2dbacked Over68c413.22$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c360.59$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.210256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under32c359.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.732657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c337.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.822236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under78c328.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.293956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c324.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.397538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under60c323.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over50c321.85$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over20c311.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.838644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.834450%22 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.835550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8920…ca77backed Over69c294.42$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over36c291.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.414934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.55024%12 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Under67c281.19$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.692552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over11c273.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c6…c164backed Over69c265.15$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over68c262.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over13c252.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.242917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under38c251.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.662564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under33c247.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.565362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under32c239.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.061353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x295d…5dc8backed Over66c237.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.741631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over69c224.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over28c223.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.384938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under32c222.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.522240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1b…6cc0backed Under71c220.92$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Over69c214.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.182733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.764042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under33c203.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.957456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.