TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over47c28,770$13,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,521.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under53c22,222$11,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,444.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under53c14,566$7,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,833.726657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2a0…eecbbacked Under54c9,704$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under55c5,174$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.278243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under75c5,014$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c4,504$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.815252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over46c4,091$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over45c4,017$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.612832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over46c3,342$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over45c3,146$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.9315032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under55c2,432$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.4121938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over4c2,245$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1324340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over1c2,081$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over47c2,060$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.23946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9405550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,800$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.0743252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under54c1,606$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over13c1,458$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.56160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over46c1,426$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.772528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over47c1,339$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over47c1,259$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.573948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over45c1,233$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.841942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under54c1,133$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.091275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.85339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over12c999.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.11723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over45c940.21$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.129138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over30c899.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over47c865.61$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.843551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under80c841.57$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.26844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c745.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.332941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c599.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.998253.7%44 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under53c599.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over28c550.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over47c537$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over13c473.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.612917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c432.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.341,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over47c409.2$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3211135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Over46c396.21$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over46c382.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over13c379.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.292520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over46c368.11$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.334047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over46c367.91$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2416349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x808a…32c5backed Under54c360.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under54c359.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over46c350.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc10c…9bb3backed Under57c345.84$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over47c331.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.881513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-74.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Over46c323.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.011225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over46c290.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5310543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under54c287.13$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.751030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under77c285.38$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.642250%11 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under66c251.04$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c248.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3723637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c238.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0842438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under74c228$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.852343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Under54c227.84$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c224.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.871,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Over45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be6…cbdfbacked Over47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Under75c198.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.643748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.575550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under54c190.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under56c182.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.834546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over46c154.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.565927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over46c152.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.941050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over38c149.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.23151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c140.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.198853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over47c135.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over31c126.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7915448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over31c126.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Over17c124.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c123$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0865050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over31c113.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.999262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Under54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over46c109.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.599924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.383839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4760…33f4backed Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.413828.9%11 W · 27 L-10.8wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-51.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under53c102.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5917045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda98…4e77backed Under54c100.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Over47c98.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a30…eb65backed Under57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd199…0d3bbacked Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under53c95.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over47c94.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x570a…fe3ebacked Under57c91.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14bc…a126backed Under54c90.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe937…df72backed Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.