TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x808a…32c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague: Andrej Martin vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$562.76
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.6
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.29
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Omar Jasikabacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$119.43
Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$78.12
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$226.9
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$22.85
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,315.82
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.65
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulterbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$32.5
Tomas Machac vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.45
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$39.97
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$99.45
Altmaier vs. Molcan: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.95
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.22
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Busan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$439.69
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$30.6
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Braden Shickbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.46
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$300.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$81.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.