Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822d27a02bae529d6c7214620cec3b8bb5d40f669176f1d14ec26f00c4be9de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omar Jasikaof Kosuke Ogura, Omar Jasika
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kosuke Ogura | 33c | 7,676$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omar Jasika | 68c | 3,961$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Kosuke Ogura | 42c | 3,195$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.98 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Kosuke Ogura | 28c | 2,612$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.75 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 1,819$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Omar Jasika | 69c | 1,426$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.75 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kosuke Ogura | 29c | 1,310$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 1,131$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kosuke Ogura | 29c | 1,056$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Omar Jasika | 65c | 654.57$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.17 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kosuke Ogura | 32c | 635.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Kosuke Ogura | 33c | 603.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Omar Jasika | 69c | 578.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Omar Jasika | 63c | 464.56$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 443.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kosuke Ogura | 27c | 340.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…32c5backed Omar Jasika | 63c | 322.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 300.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Kosuke Ogura | 32c | 261.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Omar Jasika | 68c | 188$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Omar Jasika | 62c | 155.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Omar Jasika | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kosuke Ogura | 37c | 143.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Omar Jasika | 78c | 140.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kosuke Ogura | 11c | 137.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Kosuke Ogura | 32c | 131.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kosuke Ogura | 24c | 129.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 110.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kosuke Ogura | 17c | 108.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 103.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Omar Jasika | 67c | 101.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kosuke Ogura | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Omar Jasika | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Omar Jasika | 75c | 67.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Omar Jasika | 64c | 61.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Kosuke Ogura | 24c | 59.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Omar Jasika | 68c | 56.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Omar Jasika | 75c | 55.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Omar Jasika | 65c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Kosuke Ogura | 20c | 51.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Omar Jasika | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Kosuke Ogura | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Omar Jasika | 68c | 36.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…6a05backed Kosuke Ogura | 36c | 32.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…dd02backed Kosuke Ogura | 37c | 32.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…f17dbacked Omar Jasika | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Omar Jasika | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Omar Jasika | 57c | 27.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omar Jasika | 80c | 24.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Omar Jasika | 69c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Omar Jasika | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Omar Jasika | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Omar Jasika | 65c | 19.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Omar Jasika | 68c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Omar Jasika | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.