Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee56fa66c1e16ca268f182716b63d8062b204229430724ad85ff5949f7d81d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,438,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,860,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,438,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 64c | 903,743$582,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320,918.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 37c | 448,645$165,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,998.63 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 316,659$202,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,921.75 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 63c | 271,611$171,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,496.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 35c | 200,000$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,999.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 37c | 199,585$73,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,960.04 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 37c | 175,167$65,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,200.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 63c | 160,285$100,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,686.52 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 36c | 158,488$56,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,522.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 148,377$53,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,415.81 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 127,094$44,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,753.7 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 63c | 120,001$75,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,452.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed No | 37c | 107,374$39,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,433.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 34c | 81,776$27,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,803.8 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 76,500$27,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,157.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 35c | 70,507$24,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,687.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 37c | 69,783$25,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,819.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 64,258$40,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,331.06 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aeb…eb6cbacked No | 37c | 53,019$19,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,496.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 63c | 48,262$30,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,622.84 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 63c | 44,555$28,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,485.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 39,710$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,469.79 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 63c | 35,363$22,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,084.35 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 34,371$21,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,487.64 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 42c | 34,002$14,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,174.91 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 30,259$15,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,777.38 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 35c | 28,934$10,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.8 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 65c | 27,703$18,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,696 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 27,194$9,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,535.76 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…ff07backed Yes | 63c | 23,350$14,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 42c | 19,035$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Yes | 5c | 18,932$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,894.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +508.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 18,124$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.15 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 36c | 16,461$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 36c | 16,312$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 16,200$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.37 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 48c | 15,200$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 52c | 14,000$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,669.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 37c | 13,390$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.23 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…60e8backed Yes | 53c | 12,626$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 63c | 12,193$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.46 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 37c | 11,941$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 63c | 11,901$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 35c | 11,535$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.33 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 36c | 11,531$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.49 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 58c | 11,411$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 36c | 11,227$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 11,129$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,327.41 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 63c | 10,539$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 35c | 10,330$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…f3ffbacked Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d7b7backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 37c | 9,978$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 36c | 9,919$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.01 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 9,814$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.46 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…7336backed Yes | 30c | 9,580$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 37c | 9,336$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 34c | 9,274$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.03 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 29c | 9,215$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…2e59backed No | 38c | 9,073$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 35c | 9,005$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 57c | 8,630$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.76 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…60ccbacked Yes | 65c | 8,585$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 52c | 8,338$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.53 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 35c | 8,241$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.35 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 2c | 7,791$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 50c | 7,700$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 65c | 7,531$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 36c | 7,477$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes | 3c | 7,462$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,264.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +363.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 36c | 7,406$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Yes | 6c | 7,376$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 62c | 7,299$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 7,297$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.87 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 38c | 7,196$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.27 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…cd29backed Yes | 11c | 7,139$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +796.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 42c | 7,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.97 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 35c | 6,930$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 65c | 6,926$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 65c | 6,926$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 66c | 6,679$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 6,045$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 70c | 5,951$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…facfbacked Yes | 63c | 5,884$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 5,794$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.73 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 35c | 5,494$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 39c | 5,403$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 35c | 5,390$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…6b29backed Yes | 63c | 5,381$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 39c | 5,375$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.29 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 36c | 5,342$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 60c | 5,334$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.77 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 53c | 5,168$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.93 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 67c | 4,989$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.