Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7dcc6cdb6c3bcb459388598f44e45a8d74ddb7af83b80f429871bfaf6e5d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,617,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,764,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,617,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,988 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 657,863$132,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,372.45 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 282,520$220,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,154.44 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 79c | 226,603$179,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,586.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 202,973$161,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,200.53 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 78c | 149,999$116,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 141,173$98,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,008.04 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 119,563$92,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,468.15 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 112,997$47,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,972.82 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 21c | 104,738$21,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,995.01 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 20c | 95,200$19,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,040 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…df98backed Yes | 22c | 82,192$18,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,082.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 21c | 72,884$15,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,305.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 79c | 65,930$52,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,845.29 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…8309backed Yes | 22c | 65,145$14,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,474.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 21c | 58,009$12,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,181.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 56,864$45,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,608.9 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…60ccbacked Yes | 20c | 50,008$10,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Yes | 22c | 47,660$10,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,485.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 22c | 47,660$10,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,485.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 46,803$37,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680.01 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 78c | 39,862$31,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,602.83 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed No | 76c | 35,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…262bbacked Yes | 21c | 34,333$7,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,210.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…92adbacked Yes | 44c | 33,910$14,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,920.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 80c | 33,493$26,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 80c | 30,487$24,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 55c | 30,352$16,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 22c | 30,329$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 80c | 29,262$23,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 20c | 28,560$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 80c | 28,047$22,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.73 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 22c | 25,771$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.63 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 23,291$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,856.88 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 79c | 21,600$17,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 78c | 21,393$16,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 80c | 20,250$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 21c | 19,986$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 19,968$15,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.26 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…be95backed Yes | 26c | 19,550$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Yes | 50c | 19,245$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 22c | 19,223$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.21 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked No | 79c | 18,761$14,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 72c | 18,117$13,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,118.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 17,385$12,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.14 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 19c | 16,757$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.83 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…515ebacked Yes | 21c | 15,872$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 15,510$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.49 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 22c | 14,854$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.94 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Yes | 20c | 14,504$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Yes | 19c | 13,643$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 78c | 13,635$10,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.62 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 22c | 13,215$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 79c | 12,840$10,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…a8a8backed Yes | 21c | 12,688$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 12,200$9,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.88 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 22c | 12,198$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 78c | 12,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 19c | 10,979$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 10,900$8,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.99 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 21c | 10,887$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 79c | 10,800$8,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 28c | 10,250$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 8c | 10,092$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 10,069$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.5 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 21c | 10,054$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.98 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 9,781$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.7 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 21c | 9,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 20c | 9,510$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…7c36backed Yes | 22c | 9,198$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 37c | 9,169$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.04 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 21c | 9,072$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 21c | 9,072$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes | 21c | 9,072$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 79c | 8,800$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 8,746$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Yes | 40c | 8,603$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 14c | 8,563$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…b850backed Yes | 21c | 8,124$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 22c | 8,056$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 55c | 8,010$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.46 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 79c | 8,000$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 80c | 7,849$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.37 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 42c | 7,769$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 10c | 7,634$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 75c | 7,600$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 20c | 7,518$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 19c | 7,457$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 58c | 7,410$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 68c | 7,358$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.17 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 73c | 7,323$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.88 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…d2f2backed Yes | 22c | 7,190$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 20c | 7,140$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Yes | 20c | 7,019$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 6,732$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.8 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 6,672$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 35c | 6,656$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 80c | 6,523$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 43c | 6,478$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 6,474$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.99 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.