TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa054…07c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.06
Set 1 Winner: Gea vs Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.78
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.43
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$324.99
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.17
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.84
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$257.78
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.3
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.98
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$579.39
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$259.75
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$433.98
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.97
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.24
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$155.89
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$125.17
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$203.84
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$36.5
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$86.87
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.53
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.7
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.93
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$105.12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$393.64
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$150.71
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$378.71
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$247.04
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.48
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.11
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.38
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.52
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$628.66
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$448.98
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$169.1
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.43
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-65.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,001.7
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.97
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$268.91
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.31
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$189.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,402.53
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.67
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$302.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.23
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.36
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$97.55
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$99
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.32
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$124.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.