Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4d49d66b979d389e3f75219bbbcd36c8db60f58695def24ddb2ae38c0de2a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 5,821$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.53 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,136$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 2,222$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 2,195$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.35 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Yes | 23c | 2,041$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 1,315$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 1,060$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 8c | 969.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 21c | 650$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 649$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 542.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 536.37$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 78c | 410.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 276$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 208.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 187.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 185.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 6c | 185.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 77c | 169.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 146.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f352backed No | 80c | 87.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 61.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 53.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 20c | 51.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…4284backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 79c | 48.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 79c | 14.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
- Will PAOK win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.