Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99ae3e6f3ddaae3cb81ed1ac8eaf4b12d876a706ddafa4ff6df4c8203e2a445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 9c | 859.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…f751backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 8c | 453.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 290.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 75c | 263$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 175.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 84.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 52.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 70c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 77c | 28.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 24.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 76c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will PAOK win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.