TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,124,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,124,982 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No56c187,169$105,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,639.7610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes45c185,000$82,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,904.5414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c165,452$60,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,906.432,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No56c157,021$88,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,353.6916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No56c133,988$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,987.9511445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c126,754$70,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,313.041,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c111,613$49,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,469.1815534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c92,011$41,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,004.281,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No56c82,354$46,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,235.563246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No56c72,740$40,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,096.8717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes44c68,234$29,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,740.6111149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No55c59,999$32,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.3615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No57c56,384$32,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,332.0912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes44c51,322$22,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,38451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.875658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes44c41,205$18,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,130.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+142.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No56c38,078$21,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,892.2924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked No57c35,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,050560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c32,221$12,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,337.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No56c31,459$17,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,986.924748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c28,641$10,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,073.8727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No57c26,500$15,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4702657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No56c22,856$12,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,046.827754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No56c22,800$12,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0325050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.974040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes35c18,571$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5306230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c16,884$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.314,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c15,927$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.541305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No56c15,000$8,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,659.9313151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No57c14,523$8,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,294.893060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No56c14,112$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,179.34944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No56c14,000$7,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,215.9810951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes45c13,786$6,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,203.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes44c13,237$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.841,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes43c13,235$5,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.096145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No56c12,890$7,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,671.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40af…abb2backed Yes44c12,350$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c12,045$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.3526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No57c12,000$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,16013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.9313444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No55c11,965$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.4616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c10,712$7,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed No57c10,536$6,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Yes44c9,929$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c9,636$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c9,588$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes45c9,492$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No56c9,000$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.9815944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes45c8,890$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes45c8,162$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes2c8,101$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.9740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes13c7,945$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.282,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No55c7,917$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.648146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes45c6,822$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5b…8e29backed Yes32c6,669$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No55c6,388$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.575455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes26c6,383$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No56c6,000$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.9910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked Yes23c5,859$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes45c5,556$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No57c5,262$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2e…b7f7backed Yes26c5,171$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9814258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes44c4,790$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.56857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes43c4,786$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.1616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes37c4,785$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No56c4,784$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.7585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes44c4,752$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.911921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c4,649$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.4424146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes15c4,636$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.883938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c4,632$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.711,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…0544backed Yes45c4,608$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes45c4,548$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.812055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes43c4,538$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.776445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No56c4,529$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.6712448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No55c4,445$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.132334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes35c4,415$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes36c4,409$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes27c4,380$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.534440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c4,073$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No57c4,035$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.091861.1%11 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+62.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7202147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes8c4,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes7c3,699$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No56c3,576$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.447361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes44c3,357$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4771435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes16c3,057$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9228633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c3,055$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c3,033$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.411,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.