Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbbe1e0d85971c8a3c271cb20b938a679222ce477ff863365f770b61579901c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 20,243$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,519.33 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 53c | 16,045$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Yes | 80c | 15,043$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed No | 55c | 14,602$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,992.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 49c | 13,591$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 30c | 12,776$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.85 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 47c | 10,554$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.06 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 19c | 10,367$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.34 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…0e4abacked No | 17c | 8,128$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed No | 15c | 7,621$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 65c | 5,005$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.48 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 52c | 4,771$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.06 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 52c | 4,108$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.01 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 47c | 4,016$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.46 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 21c | 3,858$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 73c | 3,430$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.14 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,660$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.08 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 68c | 2,382$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 2,304$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.85 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 68c | 2,258$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 33c | 2,195$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.19 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 52c | 2,169$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Yes | 55c | 1,942$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 53c | 1,846$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed No | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed No | 49c | 1,382$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 1,270$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.29 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 4c | 1,269$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 48c | 1,153$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.65 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 44c | 1,079$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 79c | 1,022$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Yes | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 47c | 999$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 947.47$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked No | 37c | 861.77$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 50c | 781.78$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 47c | 699.98$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 48c | 685$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.55 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 69c | 670.77$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked No | 51c | 583.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed No | 34c | 564.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed No | 51c | 500.85$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 66c | 491.03$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 49c | 485.12$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 49c | 462.54$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 29c | 430$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 32c | 425.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 67c | 396.78$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 49c | 349.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 48c | 315.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Yes | 48c | 312.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 46c | 307$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed No | 31c | 306.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…7c45backed Yes | 68c | 294.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 73c | 273.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 269.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked No | 52c | 229.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…3ff1backed Yes | 47c | 226.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Yes | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 69c | 223.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 69c | 214.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…f27abacked Yes | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…5c91backed Yes | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d86…57e3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0d…bdc2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes | 52c | 192.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked No | 53c | 172.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 75c | 170.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 75c | 168.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 52c | 156.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 34c | 147.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 68c | 146.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 49c | 144.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes | 50c | 140.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 47c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.