TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b6b…b084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$59.49
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$108
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$73.95
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.7
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.8
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$83.97
Will Al Hilal beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$92.08
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$101.57
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.51
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$148.7
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+106.1%+$15.92
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$203.33
Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.32
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+144.4%+$274.27
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.45
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.47
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+157.5%+$78.74
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
IIHF Ice Hockey World Championship: USA vs. Finland backed Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$100.53
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$15.12
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.41
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$115.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$44.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.