Champions League · resolved market
Will PSG beat Botafogo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff3fada97b0918e88d3fb8d555953937522f60fa5f51c050d9c74fa1f709d141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 26c | 55,978$14,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,423.66 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 31,982$8,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,714.12 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…4e2fbacked Yes | 64c | 31,095$19,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,961.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…1c0bbacked Yes | 77c | 15,427$11,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 10,889$5,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.73 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Yes | 74c | 8,132$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 76c | 6,090$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.93 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 56c | 5,745$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.89 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 26c | 4,903$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.42 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 48c | 4,324$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.75 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 4,100$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.53 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…2232backed Yes | 74c | 3,841$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 73c | 3,025$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.03 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 74c | 2,611$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.92 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 2,149$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.42 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 27c | 2,056$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 77c | 2,052$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.24 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…0cbbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,968$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 15c | 1,967$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 25c | 1,787$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 1,721$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.77 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 23c | 1,698$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.39 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 67c | 1,380$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,184$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.02 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,137$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.75 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.08 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…46f5backed Yes | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…f98fbacked Yes | 79c | 951.33$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed No | 25c | 791.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 75c | 770$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 26c | 692$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.12 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 74c | 616.78$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.42 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 62c | 612.2$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 261 | 44.4%116 W · 145 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 77c | 576.92$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes | 31c | 487.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 79c | 479.75$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 75c | 462.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.19 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 58c | 456.93$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 49c | 399.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes | 74c | 391.89$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…be5bbacked Yes | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 68c | 340.04$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 43c | 292.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 23c | 288.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 49c | 287.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 76c | 280.26$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 77c | 271.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 20c | 250.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 247.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 78c | 243.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…cac8backed Yes | 77c | 234.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 18c | 231.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…30b5backed Yes | 76c | 228.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 26c | 194$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes | 80c | 188.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…eb26backed Yes | 76c | 182.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 75c | 153.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Yes | 76c | 150.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 26c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…a3adbacked Yes | 53c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…15f7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…9130backed Yes | 74c | 132.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…77bbbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…52bfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes | 78c | 130$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…33b0backed Yes | 36c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…4864backed Yes | 68c | 125.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…6182backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 76c | 120.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 55c | 116.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed No | 61c | 114.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…1f02backed No | 27c | 110.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…947bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…2ab2backed Yes | 69c | 102.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 102.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 16c | 99.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…8561backed Yes | 76c | 90.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 20c | 81.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG beat Botafogo?this page
- Will Botafogo beat PSG?Yes won
- Will PSG vs. Botafogo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.