Champions League · resolved market
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc0eb8d2c640bb37d906780a506a83f69678a46a6e0ef8d2643b81715e009ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe324…9189backed No | 36c | 12,242$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 65c | 10,513$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 70c | 7,003$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 34c | 5,447$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 11c | 3,768$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 35c | 3,613$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.23 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.19 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 19c | 2,785$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.9 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 64c | 2,336$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.81 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 37c | 1,517$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.32 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 16c | 1,462$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 12c | 1,173$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 12c | 990.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 65c | 809$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.73 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 62c | 538.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 32c | 473.54$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 66c | 452.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 10c | 278.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 66c | 243.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 224$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 11c | 215.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…eb38backed Yes | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked No | 15c | 170.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 169.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…ba73backed Yes | 66c | 140.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 63c | 113.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…b990backed Yes | 76c | 98.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 36c | 97.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 27c | 90.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7ddebacked Yes | 66c | 80.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 66c | 73.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 18c | 68.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 67c | 67.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Yes | 66c | 65.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes | 68c | 63.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Yes | 66c | 62.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…a159backed Yes | 64c | 60.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 65c | 51.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 66c | 45.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 66c | 45.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Yes | 66c | 45.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 67c | 35.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…26febacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…d50abacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 66c | 28.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…db71backed Yes | 66c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…6361backed Yes | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…4592backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…6412backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 66c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dd…7493backed Yes | 63c | 16.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?this page
- Will River Plate vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat River Plate?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.