TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c64…d9e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$76.66
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$20.94
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.27
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.77
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.1
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$14.46
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.39
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$44.96
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.69
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.17
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$721.54
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$654.09
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.09
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101.06
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$754.23
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+148.6%+$831.9
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$302.06
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$101.86
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+222.6%+$2,707.76
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.51
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$227.42
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$45.71
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.28
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.42
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.72
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.56
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.58
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.94
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.91
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.91
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.68
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.15
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.64
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.35
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$9.26
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$44.98
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$47.93
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.64
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$67.45
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$357.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.03
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.17
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$20.17
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$17.17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.31
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$101.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.53
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+1,119.5%+$348.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$31.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.