La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6d17c1f356df8752f4d9f8aef0f4ea7b1f42165ff104a10c11c497a4c13aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 41c | 3,419$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.13 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 42c | 1,923$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 64c | 1,843$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 62c | 1,602$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,322$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 60c | 1,170$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 40c | 1,028$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.35 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 781.64$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.36 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 42c | 727.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 58c | 517.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 49c | 302.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 61c | 208.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…83c7backed Yes | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…12c7backed Yes | 57c | 175.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 60c | 107.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 40c | 73.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…d9b8backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 45.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…414cbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 58c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.