La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c09b2f02a1c730f5925d543ee678ffcd11265e9bca7d39efc19731bf4a7932a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Yes | 58c | 955.96$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 12c | 659.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 13c | 428.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 19c | 264$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 178.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 12c | 134.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.