Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636d2d1f87f28645f1f107e0048987fdf19b302c961ff7864be7ef5d768ca69b

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes	1c	40,879$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	69c	4,033$2,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.33	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes	31c	4,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+7.1wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	65c	2,734$1,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.23	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes	12c	2,207$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.84	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes	71c	2,133$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	43c	1,593$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.16	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes	54c	1,367$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed No	69c	1,344$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	35c	1,344$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.13	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes	23c	1,301$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	91	11%10 W · 81 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Yes	32c	1,300$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes	32c	1,098$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.94	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	45c	945.53$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.04	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No	68c	882.35$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	120	53.3%64 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked No	59c	863.54$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No	67c	762.26$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.52	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes	33c	708.96$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.33	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes	37c	583.83$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.67	386	45.3%175 W · 211 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes	39c	569.05$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.93	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.7wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+103.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes	33c	459.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No	50c	450$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	66c	427.63$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.29	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes	36c	397.29$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No	66c	379.1$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.86	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	48c	350$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.5	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e8…b7a3backed No	51c	337.77$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.65	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x139f…04d5backed Yes	55c	312.7$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.11	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes	33c	306.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes	31c	288.21$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.98	214	45.8%98 W · 116 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	43c	243.31$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.06	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes	62c	241.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91d…e92bbacked Yes	56c	214.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed No	50c	201.7$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…5e38backed Yes	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes	30c	199.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	66c	198.88$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No	69c	194.33$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.73	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes	52c	185.54$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No	41c	181.59$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.37	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+8.0wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+23%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes	55c	145.53$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.04	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes	33c	106.62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes	35c	103.19$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…8080backed No	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecc…80a4backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Yes	34c	91.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	67c	87.81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.98	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked No	21c	75.95$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	79c	75.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a05…7afdbacked No	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	32c	68.94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes	33c	68.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	68c	66$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	65c	65$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.86	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	61.4%43 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2c…763fbacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No	69c	59.09$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	45c	58.18$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed No	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	182	32.4%59 W · 123 L	-15.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes	33c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No	72c	49$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.72	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e0…9948backed Yes	32c	44.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes	34c	43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes	65c	41.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.76	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	31c	39.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	157	26.8%42 W · 115 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes	34c	38.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed No	44c	34.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	54c	33.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No	67c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5435backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0a…62dbbacked No	70c	25.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Yes	68c	21.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed No	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c57…eb35backed Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f6…ea7bbacked No	70c	19.07$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.3wins	-0.33per pick	56cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8494…3413backed No	67c	17.63$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.82	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No	69c	17.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.39	123	57.7%71 W · 52 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2144…bc50backed No	69c	15.17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?this page
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?Yes won
Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event