TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38e…8719backed No59c56,830$33,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,529.720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2660…8ac6backed Yes41c47,190$19,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,842.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…ec8bbacked Yes41c43,510$17,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,670.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb657…6c1fbacked No59c39,270$23,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,169.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda09…9272backed Yes41c28,880$11,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,039.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dba…b4e3backed No59c24,980$14,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,738.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No61c10,819$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.972268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes42c8,019$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.2128355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No58c7,459$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x038d…d484backed Yes27c6,196$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,527.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No76c5,055$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.5313547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No63c4,270$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee63…07a4backed Yes42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes32c3,617$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.437652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes37c2,540$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3511454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No2c2,358$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.725413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes25c2,226$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.1137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes37c1,998$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.741,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Yes34c1,720$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.49560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59df…81bdbacked Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No61c1,113$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.3428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No75c1,111$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes33c921.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.6921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes15c891.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No68c819.62$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.920744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes42c750.29$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.17825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes41c719.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.783737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes38c631.82$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.739255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No60c554.96$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.197536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes6c450$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No58c431.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.553762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes8c400$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3675257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes22c349.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.983836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17721153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes39c288.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6911044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes25c262.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.293438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes39c253.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.715330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes11c200$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17822932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No61c199.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.978747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes18c194.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.72330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No59c190.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc661…56debacked Yes39c188.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.26850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4279…05cabacked Yes42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.672934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No60c144.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9719460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201f…b17cbacked Yes42c130.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a5…e5b7backed Yes42c125.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.262240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f2…776fbacked Yes42c123.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a6…f409backed Yes42c122.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.66435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ff…b9e4backed Yes20c109.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+411.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes19c106.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.195825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…b988backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54ae…66c4backed Yes41c98.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c95.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.249938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x683c…e223backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e5…61b6backed No59c90.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92ed…57c1backed No60c89.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec7…8c24backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c52…215ebacked Yes42c86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…5841backed No59c85.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8502…7c3abacked No59c85.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8538…1b79backed No59c84.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4736…9f44backed Yes42c81.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb439…ff72backed Yes42c80.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.218232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81a5…b52dbacked No59c79.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…e4b4backed No60c78.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x109b…9556backed No59c76.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832a…d408backed No59c75.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No61c74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1452060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…629ebacked Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes22c63.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.842846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…1617backed Yes36c61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes40c53.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.063844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2877…f337backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.284261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes41c51.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.223429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No57c48.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+80.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52c4…bee5backed No59c45.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2b…94a6backed No60c43.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407e…f872backed Yes42c43.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5133…294dbacked Yes42c41.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+282.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8eb…fe37backed Yes42c38.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.