Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb991f8608edbcd0ce480cc4e6ef257b68273121f04550af32114604e992a145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d8…a159backed No | 74c | 10,001$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked Yes | 26c | 9,885$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 28c | 7,038$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.67 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 74c | 6,796$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.22 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 25c | 2,177$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.28 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 30c | 2,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.48 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 48c | 1,743$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.54 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 74c | 1,523$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 13c | 1,188$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.9 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Yes | 73c | 924.69$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 77c | 724.99$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 75c | 716.46$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 72c | 705.67$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 25c | 630.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 77c | 591.49$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 72c | 531.83$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 435.18$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 17c | 326.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 28c | 264.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 17c | 263.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 26c | 199$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 74c | 136.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 123.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…db92backed No | 74c | 113.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed No | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…364bbacked No | 74c | 76.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed No | 74c | 75.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…b8d1backed Yes | 29c | 69.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked No | 74c | 69.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 67.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…a499backed Yes | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 72c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.