TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed No17c32,800$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.742646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed No32c21,264$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850.342650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.752556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes74c14,355$10,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.8520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No31c6,439$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.6217745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No32c5,600$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No33c4,921$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.923240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c4,498$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.071,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No45c4,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes58c3,921$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.6413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No4c3,879$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.943910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes64c3,556$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.5179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No40c3,503$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c3,044$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No4c2,688$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.534959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes66c2,375$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.857652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes58c2,359$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.9311454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No32c2,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.176953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Yes68c1,885$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No34c1,708$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.728750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No31c1,696$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.8956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes69c1,659$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d06…0bf9backed No31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked No33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Yes68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No40c1,001$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1177…3fe3backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d8…a7d3backed No38c995$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d62…f8eabacked No38c975$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No37c799.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No37c716.96$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2172245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes61c624.25$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.469255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9e…026dbacked Yes62c620$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No32c565.65$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0134643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…21fcbacked Yes62c560$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…99f5backed No38c550$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c542.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…f57dbacked No16c539.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes63c530.84$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.414346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2071…3ac6backed No38c490$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yes69c383$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5e…45edbacked Yes62c380$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe357…e06dbacked Yes62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes63c348.63$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.611044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598d…3244backed Yes62c320$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda13…0458backed No38c315$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes74c310$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes67c285.64$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.266741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes66c273.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes65c267.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.061844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No38c261.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab4…9464backed No38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe958…36b1backed Yes74c252.4$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes70c248$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.286051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes67c244.52$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ed…2c4bbacked No39c244.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6168…8199backed No38c241.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e23…99d7backed Yes62c230$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No34c221$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes67c206.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.265358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec7…8c24backed No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes68c197.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.067536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No6c191.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4834251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53eb…abbabacked No38c180$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No34c179$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.863951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104a…3824backed Yes66c173.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3084…2638backed Yes62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+100.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x55a2…28edbacked Yes62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No36c160.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9418752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638c…e7f7backed Yes62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…3257backed Yes62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7342240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c5…ead5backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e4…d007backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…9c14backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c1…8995backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7873…a477backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9168…4c2cbacked Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a78…6777backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Yes67c148.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4774…da0cbacked No33c148.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.066177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes69c145.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes65c139.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.149949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes63c132.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0511047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…c7d9backed No40c131.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.