Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80b8ff54baf5b92e705823481e8949dce97f0d7c49083c3eadfed549c5c2a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 14c | 11,457$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…5d69backed No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…a549backed Yes | 20c | 9,992$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 19c | 1,988$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 20c | 1,430$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 80c | 864.91$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 21c | 556$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 504.76$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 397.14$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 384.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 316.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…da0bbacked Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 22c | 125.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed No | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 80c | 62.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 76c | 41.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…fccabacked No | 77c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.