Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x944f35769c323c6dbe3229370c79d2cad98f69bc7fbdb760c09f9fdf4d9c2c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe58f…9418backed Yes | 12c | 120,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 12c | 10,947$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.79 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 5,100$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 2,847$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 16c | 1,578$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 13c | 974.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 13c | 960.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 13c | 625$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 14c | 364.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 3c | 354.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 15c | 268$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 10c | 258.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…2b7bbacked Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…3946backed Yes | 14c | 120.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 17c | 109.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…e8e4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 99.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 12c | 88.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e838backed Yes | 13c | 81.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 80c | 24.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-26?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.