Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b15c5180cbc8c1ddad4e7b4d4dd93bcee673171c6547a9155d2c8fba685312d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 62c | 600.97$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 55c | 444.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 56c | 419.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 404.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 54c | 318.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 313.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 207.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 51c | 196.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 141$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 59c | 77.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 32c | 49.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-08-24?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.