Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5f4e1cd9b239dba49f27bf7c822a36d08681438cc14f224fecd1def79d8d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,110,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 61c | 437,764$266,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,417.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 38c | 200,000$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,999.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 143,143$84,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,819.57 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 45c | 137,371$61,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,757.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 39c | 134,665$52,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,859.82 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yes | 55c | 111,111$61,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,111.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 38c | 60,000$22,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,061.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 49,158$18,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,469.55 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 42c | 48,441$20,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,021.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 37,729$14,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,955.51 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 39c | 28,990$11,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,816.86 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 45c | 26,218$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,355.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 23,404$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,184.19 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 44c | 23,336$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,080.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 41c | 20,267$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.8 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 42c | 19,652$8,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,448.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 17,985$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.59 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 58c | 17,296$9,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,968.72 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 55c | 14,270$7,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.27 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yes | 62c | 12,492$7,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 45c | 10,681$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.9 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 38c | 9,602$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.1 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 8,862$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.19 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 49c | 6,532$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 61c | 6,250$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 6,152$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.56 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Yes | 59c | 5,539$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 54c | 5,520$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.4 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 5,473$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 54c | 4,448$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.26 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed No | 38c | 4,043$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 47c | 3,915$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.5 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 41c | 3,876$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.23 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 39c | 3,746$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 61c | 3,536$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 41c | 3,429$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,094$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.43 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 46c | 2,649$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.98 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 57c | 2,550$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 41c | 2,401$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.45 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 58c | 2,383$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,996$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 1,821$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.89 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 46c | 1,765$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.22 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 60c | 1,700$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 58c | 1,694$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.52 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 39c | 1,681$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…b46bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed No | 42c | 1,554$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 39c | 1,424$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.8 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,385$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 39c | 1,366$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.05 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 53c | 1,330$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 1,200$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 1,199$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.41 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed No | 71c | 1,095$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 56c | 983.83$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 935.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.8 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 57c | 786.25$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e07…0752backed Yes | 52c | 770.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 46c | 740$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 39c | 730.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 41c | 692.37$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 629.03$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 52c | 611.88$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 58c | 600.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 58c | 600$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 63c | 597.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.3 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 58c | 586.21$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes | 62c | 575.94$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 38c | 544.45$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.56 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 55c | 523.91$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 58c | 517.25$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…f91ebacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…c4cbbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 491.64$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 53c | 466.41$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 54c | 459.85$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 38c | 455.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 45c | 444.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 46c | 434.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 48c | 427.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 47c | 426.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 39c | 420$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.