Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ccfc4480be9be40d035a22c9ce7d6555d1b41d907ef3a9e40828b9ba6e0cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 18c | 8,133$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.82 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 18c | 6,253$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.82 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 18c | 2,975$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,971$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.29 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 19c | 1,653$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,369$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,358$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.73 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 79c | 728.27$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 19c | 687.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 79c | 632$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 18c | 596.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…4e7cbacked Yes | 21c | 596$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 79c | 583.24$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 22c | 557.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 16c | 545.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 78c | 539.41$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 499$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 19c | 435.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 17c | 405.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…3204backed Yes | 26c | 386.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 80c | 338.36$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 21c | 327$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 20c | 269.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 75c | 219.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…1700backed Yes | 21c | 206.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Yes | 20c | 136.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…97e6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…e3d4backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 17c | 67.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed No | 78c | 65.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 80c | 64.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…2203backed Yes | 25c | 60.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 21c | 50.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed No | 80c | 49.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 77c | 43.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…b334backed No | 80c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.