Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82820433bd86a391bd61b92eefe08c877aa8045a9c33846a5d80d25c15ed0669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 8,405$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.41 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 62c | 5,784$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.38 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 38c | 4,092$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 37c | 3,788$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.01 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 62c | 3,729$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.35 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 62c | 3,362$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 60c | 3,172$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 61c | 2,673$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.49 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 62c | 2,124$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.71 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 37c | 2,089$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.15 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 46c | 2,068$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.67 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Yes | 39c | 2,014$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 63c | 1,935$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.93 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,569$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.25 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 1,501$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.06 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,465$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.9 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 40c | 1,392$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 60c | 1,248$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 37c | 1,225$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.29 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 1,204$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.3 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Yes | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 77c | 1,071$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 64c | 1,017$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 40c | 1,008$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…b945backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…5424backed No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 776.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 61c | 678.69$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 62c | 634$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 38c | 577.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 13c | 573.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 40c | 557.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 39c | 550$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 37c | 532.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 39c | 511.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 469$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 69c | 468.23$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 46c | 439.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 38c | 393.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 36c | 363.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 40c | 343.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 40c | 325$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 37c | 312.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 38c | 294.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 270$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 38c | 262.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 62c | 210.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 37c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…be42backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 40c | 190.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…ae6cbacked Yes | 36c | 179.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked No | 15c | 168.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked No | 63c | 158.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes | 72c | 156.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…3e81backed Yes | 39c | 130.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…cddbbacked Yes | 39c | 124.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 65c | 106.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…21bbbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 40c | 101.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…bababacked No | 65c | 91.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…db92backed Yes | 39c | 90.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…6fcdbacked No | 64c | 89.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…010abacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa47…552bbacked No | 63c | 79.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…a82cbacked No | 63c | 78.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf71…03e6backed No | 63c | 78.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 75.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.