TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf66d…f36f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.51
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.18
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$43.12
Juventus vs. Manchester City: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.34
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.11
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$51.1
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+132.6%+$50.37
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+40.8%+$11.03
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+191.3%+$197
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$58.24
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+156.4%+$61
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$265
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$96
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$89.78
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+70.6%+$136.6
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$289.38
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$65
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$47.2
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$198
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$27.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.5
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.08
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. Vitalitybacked NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$33
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$153.92
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2backed NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+59%+$45.36
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. Lynn Visionbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$68.06
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.19
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+86.6%+$275.32
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+49.3%+$36.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+66.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.28
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.9
Will Hoffenheim beat FCSB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+563.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+563.4%+$1,145.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.