CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9a2b80a660f31f8763c567dce4dd23b3de87224f6eb08658bb17a1417ba1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVIof NAVI, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed NAVI | 72c | 6,279$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 | 27c | 4,425$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.77 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed NAVI | 42c | 3,851$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.32 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 27c | 3,094$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.49 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NAVI | 54c | 2,166$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.25 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked G2 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed NAVI | 35c | 1,955$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.96 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked G2 | 31c | 1,794$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed G2 | 29c | 1,396$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed G2 | 21c | 1,237$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed G2 | 31c | 1,233$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NAVI | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed G2 | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…5fc7backed G2 | 17c | 993.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NAVI | 60c | 970.82$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.73 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked G2 | 28c | 959.05$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed G2 | 39c | 793.72$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked G2 | 75c | 786.94$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked NAVI | 70c | 714.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked NAVI | 63c | 656.83$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked G2 | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed G2 | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed G2 | 32c | 537$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NAVI | 68c | 498.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed G2 | 28c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed G2 | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked NAVI | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked NAVI | 74c | 280.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed G2 | 30c | 269.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked G2 | 28c | 267.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed NAVI | 51c | 259.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 19c | 259$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked G2 | 29c | 256.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed NAVI | 65c | 250.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked NAVI | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked NAVI | 72c | 199.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked NAVI | 69c | 189.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 11c | 168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed NAVI | 77c | 150.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed NAVI | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked NAVI | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed NAVI | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed NAVI | 76c | 116.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked NAVI | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…55e3backed NAVI | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked NAVI | 78c | 93.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed NAVI | 61c | 80.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…24d6backed G2 | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed G2 | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed NAVI | 74c | 79.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d38…1a5dbacked NAVI | 71c | 78.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked G2 | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed G2 | 26c | 71.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed NAVI | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed NAVI | 62c | 69.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…1162backed NAVI | 74c | 67.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked G2 | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed NAVI | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NAVI | 70c | 52.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…f8d4backed NAVI | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked G2 | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed NAVI | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…d0e4backed G2 | 35c | 41.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…6f44backed NAVI | 75c | 40.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked G2 | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed G2 | 31c | 38.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13c…c825backed NAVI | 72c | 37.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…c4fabacked NAVI | 70c | 36.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked G2 | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed NAVI | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed NAVI | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked NAVI | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…25c2backed NAVI | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…e7fabacked NAVI | 71c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.