CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff3fc7a97fc5de75e7b9fb54cdcbf33d63d4cee656f23f7d6c5791fdef734d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Legacy | 62c | 26,332$16,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,889.36 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 24,180$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050.08 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Lynn Vision | 42c | 17,968$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,485.78 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Legacy | 57c | 8,990$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Legacy | 60c | 5,669$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.71 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Legacy | 61c | 5,077$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.96 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lynn Vision | 14c | 4,421$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.5 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Legacy | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.33 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Lynn Vision | 4c | 3,704$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Legacy | 59c | 3,400$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.89 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Legacy | 63c | 2,010$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.25 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 1,960$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 63c | 1,947$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.8 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Lynn Vision | 14c | 1,896$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Legacy | 63c | 1,243$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 1,241$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.01 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 1,101$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 1,046$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.04 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 785$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 729.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 636.57$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Lynn Vision | 67c | 601.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 549.05$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked Legacy | 59c | 525.34$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy | 34c | 492.7$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 457.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 426.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 381$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…0a19backed Legacy | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Legacy | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 224$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Legacy | 62c | 216$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 212.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…c871backed Legacy | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…fed9backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 187.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…7747backed Legacy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Legacy | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Legacy | 62c | 147$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Legacy | 68c | 146.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 136.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Legacy | 54c | 130.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 122.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…4b69backed Legacy | 61c | 110.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 106.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…e999backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Lynn Vision | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Legacy | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed Legacy | 41c | 99.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Legacy | 60c | 83.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 81.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Legacy | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…7d92backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 67.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Legacy | 64c | 62.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 25c | 61.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Legacy | 59c | 50.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 36.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Legacy | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Legacy | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Legacy | 63c | 26.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Legacy | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.