TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed No41c18,516$7,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,935.6628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes60c9,936$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,955.829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes66c9,221$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.1311657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes58c2,980$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.456253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c2,899$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.4279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed No42c2,392$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes58c2,335$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.658633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No43c2,050$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1608145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No40c1,986$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.595453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes61c1,901$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1503348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c1,577$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.4341437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No42c1,513$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.2579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes20c1,434$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No36c1,375$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.2137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No42c1,178$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.541650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No40c1,157$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7316660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No45c1,014$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.132158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No40c874.47$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.3877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No20c826.67$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.6732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No40c749.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.994553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No41c637.92$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.384852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No42c504.84$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f9c…36e4backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e1…e9eabacked Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No33c476.13$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes60c467.62$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.57130%0 W · 13 L-6.0wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes59c423.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No40c421.35$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No39c403.39$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked No42c311.71$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.791637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed No66c304.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.559037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes77c300$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2c…1b43backed Yes59c274.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No38c253.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No41c249.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.495644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes68c235.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No45c228.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a4…8358backed Yes60c216.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No39c200.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2337054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes56c198.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No29c193.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4727454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No39c191$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2041…977fbacked No40c179.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No40c157.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x893b…188ebacked Yes59c155.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No48c151.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8229751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.927967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes59c135.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2511915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No62c122.72$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.832560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e45…f17bbacked Yes59c113.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Yes59c113.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6168…8199backed Yes59c111.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…d540backed No44c110.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes63c108.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ceb…82cabacked Yes57c104.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Yes59c102.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae59…761fbacked Yes60c100.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd392…cf71backed Yes60c96.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No18c94.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.463666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Yes52c93.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed No44c92.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b6…3809backed Yes60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…0b6dbacked Yes59c84.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33c3…9760backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf7b…dd7bbacked Yes59c83.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c02…3690backed Yes61c76.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed No42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes62c72.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.922733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes60c66.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No38c66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.927968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No44c62.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1715636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No40c61.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.912540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x369a…c545backed No43c59.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.641070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes60c58.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.