TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x369a…c545

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$41.17
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$63
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.92
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.64
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$25.89
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32.94
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.99
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.64
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.64
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$28.17
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.13
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+170.3%+$40.86
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+131.6%+$33.64
Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$27.48
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$75.82
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$25.09
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.58
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.