Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2867f50abd602fc37ce7592be2139865f5a2b836c1edcf52b21b5b1c604a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 66c | 4,584$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 51c | 1,056$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 25c | 637.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 75c | 630$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…0d55backed Yes | 42c | 485.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 24c | 477.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7aa0backed Yes | 25c | 336$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 297.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 75c | 258.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 76c | 254.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…c0c8backed Yes | 24c | 254.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 238.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 48c | 226.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…2528backed Yes | 10c | 209.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…6be8backed No | 75c | 171.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…c584backed No | 77c | 167.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…8c1dbacked No | 75c | 135.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…26b0backed No | 77c | 134.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…713dbacked No | 77c | 132.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…8ea9backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…e88fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…c545backed No | 77c | 119.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…73d2backed No | 77c | 118.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…9beabacked Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 31c | 95.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…879bbacked Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…218fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…bd14backed Yes | 48c | 73.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…8ae0backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…cac7backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 74c | 54.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…567fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 72c | 38.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 60c | 37.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…96e6backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…f408backed No | 75c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…2947backed No | 74c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…1f32backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…5e54backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…bcf1backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…2e39backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…70ffbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…fb3ebacked No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…3642backed No | 76c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.