Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9d0570e804be048d4808054f18772fb16045081a87a2db867726cf588a3250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 45c | 35,816$16,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,788.17 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 15,164$6,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.84 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed No | 46c | 10,796$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 55c | 10,304$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,664.37 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 8,717$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.23 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 55c | 5,527$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.99 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Yes | 60c | 4,968$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,797$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 4,729$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 4,308$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.71 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 42c | 3,368$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.17 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Yes | 72c | 2,945$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,920$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…4f7cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,834$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 55c | 1,833$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.2 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 39c | 1,758$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 59c | 1,523$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.71 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 1,523$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 34c | 1,480$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 54c | 1,447$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.43 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 47c | 1,410$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 57c | 1,334$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.57 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 43c | 1,143$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 41c | 1,140$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes | 59c | 1,015$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x318c…1a2abacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…6ff5backed Yes | 56c | 966.79$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 58c | 935.5$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.71 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…e281backed Yes | 32c | 934.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 59c | 930.29$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.87 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 45c | 903.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…28cfbacked Yes | 58c | 872.23$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 46c | 700$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…eb38backed Yes | 56c | 696.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 57c | 685.79$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…d71fbacked No | 78c | 622.12$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Yes | 59c | 589.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 57c | 565.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…160fbacked Yes | 58c | 560.86$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…ad5ebacked Yes | 56c | 515.46$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…5f1abacked Yes | 59c | 508.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…14cbbacked Yes | 56c | 484.44$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 60c | 433.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 41c | 399.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…6571backed Yes | 59c | 369.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…567bbacked No | 47c | 367.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5047…db74backed Yes | 59c | 357.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Yes | 59c | 353.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…c0f6backed No | 47c | 348.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…292abacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 60c | 335.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…16a6backed Yes | 63c | 320.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…e0eabacked Yes | 59c | 320.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…a931backed No | 46c | 304.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 58c | 304.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 56c | 296.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 56c | 276.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…bd14backed Yes | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…eadabacked Yes | 56c | 248.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Yes | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…d146backed Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…fea3backed Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 78c | 225.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 58c | 223.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 11c | 222$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 32c | 220.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 54c | 214.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 59c | 213.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 61c | 188.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 59c | 188.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…0ababacked Yes | 57c | 187.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fa…b0dbbacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…f821backed Yes | 51c | 176.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…464ebacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…f09abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.