Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9567f5605e2b4ca21bffd21d70e5a0599cfbf9d949a4d2d63ea08fc3cec1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 21c | 7,989$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,314.81 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 67c | 2,703$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,648$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.3 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…6079backed No | 79c | 1,195$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 16c | 1,111$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.96 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 32c | 786.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 42c | 730.27$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.93 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 576.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Yes | 42c | 574.81$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed No | 64c | 345$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 330$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed No | 57c | 202.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 80c | 202$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ca82backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +256.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 18c | 145.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…8ea9backed Yes | 19c | 119.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…868dbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 63c | 100.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…dc29backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…acb3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked No | 65c | 97.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…0ce3backed Yes | 19c | 87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked No | 67c | 85.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…8ae0backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…155ebacked Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…cac7backed Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed No | 74c | 49.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…e86ebacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…feb3backed Yes | 76c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?No won
- Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.