TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah24c60,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Golden Knights51c19,925$10,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,708.4717749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.931654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights68c6,810$4,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.9386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah49c6,782$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.851,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Utah49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9525446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights50c3,963$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Golden Knights51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights71c2,849$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah1c2,555$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Utah49c2,534$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.7348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Utah48c2,219$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.7932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Utah49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Utah48c2,034$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Utah49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Utah49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah49c1,985$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah48c1,947$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.512,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Utah7c1,385$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71520%3 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights50c1,255$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.6151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights51c1,213$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.3731148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah49c1,007$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Utah49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Utah49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Utah7c999.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2410540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights51c957.39$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e0…d720backed Utah49c934.69$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4581250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58df…c720backed Golden Knights52c934.62$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.621450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Utah17c823.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights50c797$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Golden Knights51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3123047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah50c750$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.641,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Utah49c735.35$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.326640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah48c706.78$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Utah6c699.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah48c661.22$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed Utah9c599.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Golden Knights51c584.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6211245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights52c579.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2541248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Utah49c578.6$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Golden Knights52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9219353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Golden Knights52c558$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah48c533.67$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.583,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Utah48c520.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6719942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah48c510.8$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.181,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Utah48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Utah49c482.08$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2287447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1167…fa34backed Utah46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Utah10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe0…544cbacked Utah46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a95…8be8backed Golden Knights54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d3…5114backed Golden Knights54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…11e9backed Utah46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1735…b39bbacked Golden Knights54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef3…744bbacked Utah46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cf…ac7abacked Utah46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fda…0d7ebacked Utah46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.42060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…29b9backed Golden Knights54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6c…415dbacked Golden Knights54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e3…2a9cbacked Golden Knights54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights51c383.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9372448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5994…04f8backed Utah46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ed…088fbacked Golden Knights54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a31…3b51backed Golden Knights54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.82171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e92…d049backed Utah46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdc…73cfbacked Utah46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63d7…c865backed Utah46c370$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x028b…891dbacked Golden Knights54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights51c367.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Utah24c363.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…4b26backed Utah46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…80ecbacked Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…7155backed Utah46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a2…9b5abacked Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9961…f227backed Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc74…8dc4backed Utah46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x975a…7978backed Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ca…6cadbacked Utah46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c41…9a14backed Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.62065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd6…84a9backed Golden Knights54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x452d…0ac9backed Utah46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422a…c5ecbacked Utah46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2161…7d6bbacked Golden Knights54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…18d2backed Utah46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c73…09c2backed Golden Knights54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6161…5a98backed Golden Knights54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Golden Knights64c344.22$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4312070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a4…f0c2backed Golden Knights54c340$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d2…63c9backed Golden Knights54c340$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.42055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23a…ed33backed Utah46c340$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…87e6backed Utah46c340$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32db…b59fbacked Utah46c340$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.