NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d91f7c198a0b2e49a823037fcbfee2cc4a8ec65fef67df6fe01eca2040b0fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 37,373$20,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,554.88 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 44c | 22,623$10,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,576.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Oilers | 45c | 13,450$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 70c | 13,194$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188.8 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Golden Knights | 71c | 11,872$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights | 55c | 11,290$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.02 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 45c | 11,128$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.32 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 44c | 10,323$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.7 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 10,013$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.08 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…b366backed Oilers | 44c | 9,994$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f6c0backed Golden Knights | 56c | 9,994$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,596.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers | 30c | 9,550$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.85 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights | 64c | 7,380$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.36 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 43c | 6,189$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.89 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers | 42c | 6,096$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.15 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,548$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.39 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers | 43c | 5,349$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.04 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,022$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Golden Knights | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Oilers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Oilers | 23c | 3,600$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Oilers | 44c | 3,236$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.04 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Oilers | 24c | 3,174$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.91 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Oilers | 32c | 3,078$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 2,513$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.61 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Golden Knights | 67c | 2,352$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.42 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 31c | 2,352$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.46 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 2,162$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.17 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,082$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.07 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,007$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.4 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Oilers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,805$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Oilers | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Oilers | 31c | 1,604$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.78 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…063dbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.92 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,429$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.92 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Oilers | 45c | 1,428$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.14 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…3b7fbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,383$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…83dbbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 1,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5722…5dedbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,378$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…df5cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,221$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Oilers | 33c | 1,215$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.94 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Oilers | 32c | 1,209$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Oilers | 33c | 1,194$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Oilers | 24c | 1,144$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.28 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…3eecbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 29c | 1,025$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.94 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oilers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…469bbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Oilers | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Golden Knights | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Oilers | 31c | 968.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Golden Knights | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Golden Knights | 56c | 890$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Oilers | 44c | 890$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 66c | 780.99$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 760.14$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers | 48c | 690.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 55c | 688.29$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.56 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 682$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Oilers | 52c | 639.15$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Oilers | 32c | 624.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Golden Knights | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 594$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights | 56c | 593.32$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.66 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 65c | 590.1$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Oilers | 22c | 586.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.75 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Oilers | 45c | 567.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Golden Knights | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Oilers | 46c | 520$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Oilers | 39c | 507.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.94 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Golden Knights | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Golden Knights | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Golden Knights | 57c | 439.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…3782backed Golden Knights | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…3ad4backed Oilers | 45c | 417.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights | 55c | 414.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a7…f7b4backed Oilers | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…1ea9backed Oilers | 45c | 382.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…5ac7backed Golden Knights | 56c | 371.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…fcd5backed Oilers | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96eb…5d99backed Oilers | 45c | 352$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Golden Knights | 57c | 351.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Golden Knights | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.