NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f033fb4be170483af9603f5ebc9a18037f129da97dbb645a6874cd50e5417be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,079,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,166,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,079,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 48c | 227,983$110,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,120.37 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 50c | 100,000$49,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,849.42 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 51c | 95,388$48,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,740.16 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 52c | 85,999$44,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,499.45 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 50c | 69,176$34,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,587.78 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Bulls | 49c | 59,958$29,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,279.87 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Bulls | 49c | 51,020$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Warriors | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Bulls | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 51c | 47,486$24,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,050.89 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Bulls | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,950 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Warriors | 54c | 33,668$18,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,622 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 57c | 29,659$16,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,734.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls | 49c | 26,633$13,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,048.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bulls | 48c | 21,759$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.15 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Warriors | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Bulls | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 52c | 19,251$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,251.49 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Warriors | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls | 49c | 18,081$8,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796.66 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 51c | 17,163$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 1c | 16,562$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 50c | 14,289$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.44 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 50c | 14,079$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.38 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 49c | 13,547$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 52c | 13,253$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.52 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 9c | 12,933$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.58 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 19c | 12,306$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.98 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 49c | 12,064$5,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,911.34 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Bulls | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 50c | 10,938$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.76 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…f3aebacked Warriors | 49c | 9,823$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 37c | 8,653$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.82 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bulls | 48c | 8,647$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.56 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Warriors | 73c | 8,507$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.05 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Warriors | 50c | 8,442$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.19 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Warriors | 49c | 8,233$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.65 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Bulls | 33c | 8,071$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Warriors | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Bulls | 2c | 7,974$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…9b36backed Warriors | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Bulls | 47c | 7,500$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.96 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Warriors | 52c | 6,958$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 5c | 6,832$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Warriors | 48c | 6,752$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bulls | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…2f15backed Bulls | 52c | 6,078$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bulls | 24c | 6,076$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.31 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Bulls | 49c | 6,036$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.64 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Warriors | 52c | 5,945$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 14c | 5,939$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Bulls | 48c | 5,609$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.08 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 50c | 5,594$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.68 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…0314backed Warriors | 53c | 5,300$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls | 49c | 5,168$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.9 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Bulls | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Bulls | 9c | 4,984$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.1 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bulls | 3c | 4,954$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,950$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 50c | 4,949$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.27 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Warriors | 49c | 4,714$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.29 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Bulls | 14c | 4,665$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.78 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Bulls | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bulls | 20c | 4,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Warriors | 67c | 4,457$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.21 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 78c | 4,289$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Warriors | 49c | 4,158$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.39 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,062$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Bulls | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Bulls | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bulls | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bulls | 50c | 3,983$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Warriors | 49c | 3,965$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.06 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Bulls | 51c | 3,916$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 6c | 3,826$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…fb6bbacked Bulls | 47c | 3,738$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Bulls | 19c | 3,733$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.31 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…7b24backed Warriors | 52c | 3,725$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 18c | 3,658$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Warriors | 49c | 3,657$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.14 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls | 1c | 3,504$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Warriors | 49c | 3,486$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Warriors | 53c | 3,446$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.65 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Warriors | 50c | 3,399$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…4991backed Warriors | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 48c | 2,975$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 23c | 2,894$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.2 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls | 15c | 2,800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 22c | 2,714$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.82 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…07ddbacked Warriors | 76c | 2,700$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Bullsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.