NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e2c673b5101ad961e9498802d6c173efaec02a32afcf6c1438deead25497ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $732,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Kings | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 66c | 80,000$53,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,949.94 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Kings | 33c | 74,198$24,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,585.75 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Timberwolves | 63c | 36,073$22,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,347.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 8c | 34,298$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.28 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 36c | 23,487$8,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,455.14 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 35c | 19,704$6,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.17 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 35c | 18,295$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.34 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 36c | 15,192$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.26 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Timberwolves | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 68c | 14,767$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.88 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 34c | 12,648$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…b240backed Timberwolves | 64c | 11,143$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…ee98backed Kings | 36c | 11,137$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kings | 32c | 10,694$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.78 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 0c | 10,369$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings | 33c | 9,624$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 36c | 9,400$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 9,105$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Kings | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 34c | 7,670$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 33c | 7,020$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.59 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 25c | 7,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Kings | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Timberwolves | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 25c | 5,564$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,500$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 36c | 5,100$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Kings | 3c | 5,100$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 5,000$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.1 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 4,722$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,590$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.25 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Kings | 34c | 4,118$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.12 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 34c | 4,097$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.8 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Kings | 33c | 3,600$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 72c | 3,423$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 14c | 3,366$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings | 35c | 3,134$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,826$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kings | 33c | 2,800$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 36c | 2,709$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.42 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Kings | 13c | 2,291$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 33c | 2,266$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.64 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,250$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 20c | 2,238$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 32c | 2,235$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.35 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,793$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Kings | 34c | 1,635$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,629$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 33c | 1,611$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.14 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Kings | 34c | 1,572$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…bb0bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,572$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,517$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.67 | 353 | 62.6%221 W · 132 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 28c | 1,510$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.89 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Kings | 35c | 1,385$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 34c | 1,382$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 24c | 1,293$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 33c | 1,216$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Kings | 34c | 1,193$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.75 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.7 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Kings | 24c | 1,050$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kings | 33c | 1,047$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.51 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Kings | 25c | 1,031$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…006cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kings | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Kings | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Kings | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 35c | 999.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 952.34$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Kings | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Kings | 19c | 803.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…ee0abacked Kings | 33c | 794$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 34c | 732.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 22c | 710$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Kings | 4c | 709.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…3253backed Timberwolves | 67c | 707.21$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Kings | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…31b6backed Kings | 26c | 698.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…805cbacked Kings | 22c | 686.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 575 | 37.4%215 W · 360 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Kings | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 67c | 662.69$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 17c | 630.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Kings | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kings | 4c | 616.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kings | 32c | 604.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Kingsthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.