TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No33c11,078$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.0518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce2…c582backed No31c8,020$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…5bf9backed Yes69c8,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes66c5,303$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.0324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85ba…5b74backed Yes80c2,768$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.76887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick49cpaid+161.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes70c2,617$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.969037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…b898backed Yes50c1,957$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…94e4backed No50c1,957$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cce…44b9backed No53c1,540$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd7…c531backed Yes68c1,250$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.51145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e91…45b8backed Yes63c1,153$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes65c1,079$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5115554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e9…8b5bbacked No37c1,053$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed No34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc45c…e990backed Yes65c1,004$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffb…0c64backed No34c1,004$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No34c1,000$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6134643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes68c940$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No32c940$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.83647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2386959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes69c670.06$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2747…cf42backed Yes66c569.5$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No35c538.94$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.636346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No34c512.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed No32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes70c489.24$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0115636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes60c422.45$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7615337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No33c414.26$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Yes67c328.16$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.292330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed No33c318.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.173951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…c7febacked No34c294.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No27c278.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e79…2bb8backed Yes68c270$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed No30c265.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.694250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7df…3bccbacked Yes70c253.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes64c250$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.58633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3aca…2244backed No34c243.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes66c230.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.511838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4019…8e5ebacked Yes68c230$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeea…fc66backed No33c220.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5d75backed No31c211$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…b9cfbacked No56c209.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.291225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf19…4b21backed Yes67c204$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.352853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc725…34e7backed Yes66c189$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Yes66c189$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x655e…f22bbacked No31c180.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d42…8196backed No34c179.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No27c167.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.715554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Yes65c167.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.352821.4%6 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6663…885dbacked Yes67c165.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb3…c6b1backed Yes67c161.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes70c158.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5711353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed No33c158.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c150.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c3…694abacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…2be5backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc681…14cbbacked Yes66c148.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Yes69c145.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc025…694fbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6089…4f30backed Yes70c142.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986d…e281backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2591…e256backed No34c136.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…93dfbacked No36c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3362…8cb4backed No37c133.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8131…2c1ebacked Yes69c130$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed No36c122.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf0…fe3dbacked Yes72c118.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369a…c545backed No32c118.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…e065backed Yes69c117.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b2…451dbacked No36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2134…0cbebacked Yes69c110.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88af…cd83backed No36c105.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1903…3089backed Yes67c101.16$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dde…6079backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed No35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked Yes66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.486743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2767…ffb2backed No32c98.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes65c98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.318232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed Yes70c94.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4889…03babacked Yes69c91.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd66…21bfbacked Yes69c89.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2b…b317backed Yes70c88.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Yes66c88.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0587…2695backed No34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d41…4c48backed Yes66c85.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.