Premier League · resolved market
Will Spurs vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578c37e0b9eb2db4b04a07b766e238e88e0a2b1886e6e9088034582a0db62a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,991$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.86 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…04f3backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 80c | 618.38$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 19c | 532.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8223…f59fbacked Yes | 18c | 505.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…0bc0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…bff9backed Yes | 18c | 441.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 17c | 404.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…78e6backed Yes | 18c | 243.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e31…72debacked Yes | 18c | 211.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 205.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 20c | 138.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…2c1ebacked Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…879bbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 35c | 124$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 78c | 123.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 80c | 100.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…3ee3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…81febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…d71fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…026dbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…2695backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…203dbacked Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…abb3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…a86bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spurs vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.