Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da531dd770d22858044bd3c919c0eaf2d53d896c33830a699775dea4d946a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87df…a242backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 15c | 443.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…acdbbacked Yes | 18c | 384.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 18c | 329.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…76b7backed Yes | 16c | 306.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…5a53backed Yes | 17c | 296.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…ac9bbacked Yes | 16c | 281$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 14c | 205.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Yes | 7c | 159.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…d5d0backed Yes | 16c | 152.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 15c | 146.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…2695backed Yes | 17c | 143.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…40eabacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…2c1ebacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…868dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…203dbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…2528backed Yes | 18c | 63.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…5dd4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 32c | 58.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…581dbacked No | 80c | 47.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…f821backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…76a2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Spurs vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.