TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed No36c9,741$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.1414732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes74c4,808$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.166854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes57c4,071$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3369235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No42c3,615$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.6940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes33c3,402$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes5c2,811$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Yes76c2,796$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.99862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes58c2,582$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes57c2,460$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.635641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c2,172$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.0383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes58c2,000$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1654252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes73c1,990$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No59c1,678$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No48c1,030$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No42c1,024$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.0716660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes2c1,003$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.396023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5606959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5808453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No49c977.46$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes58c970.46$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c954.44$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c904.34$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.0681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4065644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes58c700$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c686$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No36c675.77$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No30c626$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes58c574.14$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes19c572.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.594136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No6c537.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.17241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed No27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.992128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No42c360.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No42c354.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes58c346.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes59c251.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.975642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…bcefbacked Yes43c231.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f4…d961backed No43c229.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes57c225.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.565740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes56c219.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.192060%12 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes57c210$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.73959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefca…bf2dbacked Yes59c150.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.510333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.57350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b15…0bf3backed No44c149.27$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes57c139.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc45f…1a1abacked No42c135.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes57c135.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1e…e4a4backed Yes59c132.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked No43c127.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…4897backed No42c125.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…182bbacked No43c121.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa490…ba96backed No43c120.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.127159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…960dbacked No44c114.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d0…2b50backed No43c114.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6415636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2848…6315backed No44c109.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8d…9901backed Yes59c108.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.44520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-72.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes59c107.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.68149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e9d…fc59backed No44c105.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa2…9fe2backed No43c104.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3c…7a9abacked Yes60c103.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358a…6d19backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…58cabacked No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe528…6385backed Yes58c99.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…d4eabacked Yes57c95.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6c05backed Yes58c94.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…2506backed Yes58c94.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325d…515cbacked Yes57c93.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6b…5ca5backed Yes58c92.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485f…b9bebacked Yes57c91.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287b…647abacked Yes58c91.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x111e…9c84backed Yes58c90.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…65ecbacked Yes58c89.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x176b…a16fbacked Yes62c88.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa343…135bbacked Yes58c88.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14e…e7abbacked Yes59c87.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1476…99aabacked Yes57c86.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…489bbacked Yes57c85.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x893c…9ed2backed Yes59c85.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes59c85.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.