Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bcbfc8da1a4dbfe21832c50c126b04b45be8ca455457dcbcfbee48cc6458db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 5,100$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 28c | 2,581$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.62 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 1,758$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.45 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 80c | 1,139$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.47 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 856.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 14c | 644.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.22 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 28c | 624.88$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.55 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 18c | 475.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 22c | 456.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 439.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 26c | 395.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.87 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 20c | 354.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 18c | 341.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 19c | 269.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 20c | 268.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 79c | 203.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 195.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 80c | 138$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…c100backed Yes | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 16c | 80.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…bb38backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes | 79c | 74.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes | 26c | 64.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 54.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…21f8backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…c444backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 79cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…b7eebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 80cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…5a6cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…af71backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…791abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…f85dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.